a 9 level earthquake such as salmon, saury Japanese regulars on the table has gone nowhere. Japan moms worry about children's health affected by radiation, and switch to alternative marine life such as steak burgers and soy milk. Advocate Japanese consumption of aquatic products in special period will soon find a substitute. Housewives this civilian wisdom of buying food in the market as investors who apply.
for the Japan housewives, even when even the fish to eat the small probability of an event, they can still easily find alternatives. On the investment market, this same applies. Even if “ Black Swan ” there also does not mean that this is the “ end of the investment ”, for alternatives to be phase, but opportunities to stand out.
this year is “ Black Swan ” frequent patrons a year. Before the end of a quarter, adjacent to market experienced political instability in the Middle East, soaring oil prices, high food prices in the award-winning innovation, Japan 9 secondary disaster of earthquake and tsunami, and other unexpected events. &Amp;ldquo; Black Swan ” a word originally from New York University Professor and consultant taleibo's first global investment company, used to describe events that cannot be predicted by the trend. Events to such “ Black Swan ”, because at one time, everyone thought there is only the White Swan, until 1697 in Australia found that Black Swan, this concept was broken.
“ Black Swan ”, the market will be trembling? In the early disasters, investors used to herd, rushing headlong into mass action of selling out the so-called troubled assets. Sustained over God again, aware of the problem and to be so bad, investors again until admission, while more proactive investors often benefit more. Most of the time, short wave does not mean that the market will continue to fall or collapse.
step back and say that, even if the various macro-environments are detrimental to market, smart investors can also find opportunities. While the exception higher oil prices are seen as “ Black Swan ” one of the important symbols that appear, but it will also boost energy company earnings and share price performance. In fact, encounter “ Black Swan ” is not important, forces of nature and cannot be left solely to market trends, get rid of other effects, the main driving factor is that investors in the market's own beliefs. Fully aware of their investment and confidence, once right person and situation, patience, firm will certainly get a surprising return for investors.
in addition, while “ Black Swan ” event is often used to describe the unexpected bad news for investment can see what others cannot, however, this is a rare piece of good news. Once “ Black Swan ”, experienced investors often by virtue of a wide range of policies to avoid risks. Smart investors already have a prior judgement on the risks in the portfolio, carefully consider the various possibilities, including the extremes. Perhaps this is part of the great investors are always one step ahead, investment road win in adversity.
